India’s Energy and Emissions Future: an interpretive analysis of model scenarios

26 July 2018
India’s Energy and Emissions Future: an interpretive analysis of model scenarios
NEW JOURNAL ARTICLE CO-AUTHORED BY NAVROZ K DUBASH, RADHIKA KHOSLA, ANKIT BHARDWAJ, AND NARASIMHA D RAO

Over the last few years, India has variously been presented in the global climate debate as an energy-hungry climate deal-breaker, and a forerunner of a low carbon future. Developing clarity on India’s energy and emissions future, however, is challenged by the uncertainties of India’s development transitions. Based on an interpretive analysis of 7 leading studies on CO2 emissions from energy, this paper concludes that given current policies, a doubling of India’s emissions from 2012 levels is a likely upper bound for emissions in 2030, and that this level is consistent with India’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), as the graphic below suggests. 

 

 

The paper, published in Environmental Research Letters, discusses the implications of these results for India’s energy sector. It is open-access and available for download and can be found here.

The views shared belong to individual faculty and researchers and do not represent an institutional stance on the issue.