How can India Create More Jobs? Unleashing the 1.4 billion: A Blueprint for India’s Job-Led Growth
Ejaz Ghani
February 3, 2026
India stands at a historic threshold. As the world’s youngest nation with a median age of just under 29 years, it possesses a demographic engine that could power global growth for decades. Yet, as the country approaches the centenary of our independence, it confronts the “2047 Paradox”: a “Great Decoupling” where soaring GDP growth is no longer translating into enough secure livelihoods. To achieve the vision of Viksit Bharat, India must create 10 to 12 million new jobs every year by releasing the “Structural Brakes” that currently hold our workforce hostage and move beyond the myth that only industrial giants can save us.
The Diagnosis: Beyond the Industrial Myth
For decades, policy has focused on “Firm-Chasing” i.e., attracting large, mature industrial giants. Mature firms, particularly those older than a decade, are no longer the job creators. They exhibit a creation rate of negative 3.5% and have become net job destroyers, while firms less than five years old, the “Ojazelles”, are responsible for 45% of all new jobs in the nation. The failure to scale these young firms is the outcome of two deep structural features, viz., the Collateral Trap and Regulatory Dwarfism.
Collateral Trap refers to the bias of the Indian credit system towards ownership of ancestral land. This “credit apartheid” subsidizes stagnant legacy firms, while starving the dreamers. To achieve Viksit Bharat 2047, India must move toward a financial architecture where information replaces land as the primary currency of trust. If we fail to act, the landless will remain cut off from credit, sidelining millions of potential job creators and turning India’s demographic dividend into a missed opportunity.
Regulatory Dwarfism describes the current situation, where 98% of Indian manufacturing firms employ fewer than five workers. They stay small not because they lack ambition, but to stay below the “regulatory ceiling” of complex compliance and rigid labour laws. As a firm scales, it encounters a “regulatory tax” that increases not linearly, but exponentially. When a firm crosses the 50-employee mark, many states trigger the Apprentices Act and health safety mandates. For an entrepreneur, hiring the 51st worker can quadruple the “governance tax” on their time and capital, making it more profitable to remain a “dwarf” than to become “small.”
The Blueprint: A New Social Compact
To achieve a $30 trillion economy, we must shift the State from a regulator that “controls” to a partner that “trusts.”, a Phoenix Mandate that radically re-engineers of our economic DNA. This mandate comprises of four specific changes, viz.:
- Information-Based Lending (IBL): India should move from asset based collateral to information based lending by leveraging its Digital Public Infrastructure. The emphasis should be on credit through high frequency data traits generated by Aadhaar, UPI and GSTN which can enable credit through cash flow history, utility bill records and GST invoice velocity, instead of land deeds. This shift can unlock the credit for young entrepreneurs in semi or informal sectors of the economy, while lowering costs and accelerating formalisation.
- The Mobility Shield: In a highly mobile labour market, welfare benefits should be accessible to all. A worker from Bihar should access food, health and insurance entitlements in Tamil Nadu as seamlessly as in their home village. An Aadhaar linked ‘Digital Benefits Account’ and implementation of ‘One Nation, One Ration Card’ can ensure that there is no geographical constraint on the benefits for an individual.
- Dismantling the “Paper Ceiling”: Industry reports suggest that a significant portion of Indian graduates are unemployable in high value roles. To achieve Viksit Bharat, India should de-stigmatize vocational training and legitimize micro certificates. By developing an AI literate and skill first workforce, India can generate highly productive human capital with future-fit skills. The Green Transition alone could create 35 million jobs in EV architecture, green hydrogen, and circular waste – but only if we de-stigmatize vocational mastery.
- The Gender Dividend: Finally, we must stop treating the gender gap as a social issue and start treating it as a macroeconomic emergency. In India, female employment is hindered by safety, cost of mobility and a disproportionate burden of unpaid care work. Formalizing the Care Economy is the key to unlocking the productivity of half our population.
The Call to Action
The choice before us is clear: To achieve Viksit Bharat, India should stop pouring fiscal resources to legacy industries and start providing the liquidity required for Green Digital and AI Driven industries. The transition from land based collateral to information based collateral can empower the youth of this nation. India needs a National Jobs Council, modeled after the GST Council, to align the Center and States in a mission to dissolve the “Missing Middle”, and nurture more “Ojazelles”. The path to 2047 does not belong to the monopolies of the past; it belongs to the 1.4 billion. It is time for the Indian Phoenix to fly.