Opinion and commentary

Why predicting a poll wave is tough

By Rahul Verma

Hindustan Times

March 6, 2022

Discuss any election in India and the conversation inevitably arrives at whether there’s a wave (lehar) or not — despite the fact that there’s no accepted definition for the term, that it is notoriously difficult to sense, and that ultimately, diminishes our ability to understand the nature of India’s evolving democracy. A narrow focus on only the winner, and the scale of the victory, hampers the study of elections in India.

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