Author: cprindia

FULL VIDEO OF PANEL DISCUSSION AS PART OF CPR DIALOGUES
ECONOMY POLITICS

Watch the full video of the panel discussion on ‘India’s 21st Century Transitions’, organised as part of CPR Dialogues, featuring Jamshyd Godrej, T N Ninan, Rajiv Kumar, Pratap Bhanu Mehta, chaired by Yamini Aiyar.

How can India manage its urban transformation so that it builds inclusive, sustainable, green 21st century cities?
How can India meet its energy needs as a growing economy while shifting toward cleaner energy?
How can India overcome the twin challenges of declining agricultural productivity and weak human capital to create productive jobs in a rapidly changing 21st century economy?
How can India leverage its technology advantage and create an innovation eco-system while protecting individual and community rights?
How should India respond to shifting geo-political trends and re-position itself in a changing global order?
India today is at the cusp of significant developmental transitions. Choices made will fundamentally shape its future developmental trajectory. The policy challenge today lies in identifying appropriate pathways and institutional mechanisms to negotiate these transitions and set India on a path toward a sustainable, inclusive future. While identifying appropriate pathways, India has to navigate important tensions in our polity. One important tension is the often conflicting needs of rural vs urban populations, best demonstrated in the on-going agrarian crisis.

The second challenge is institutional. India today needs to build a new institutional framework to respond to changing needs while at the same time building the state’s capacity to manage basic, everyday tasks from health and education to building basic infrastructure. As Prime Minister Narendra Modi has recently stated, ‘India is managing 21st century transitions with a 19th century administration.’

Finally, India is dealing with these transitions at a time when public discourse has become increasingly sharp and polarised often blurring the lines between critical engagement and partisan endorsement of ideas. This polarisation has made sober, objective evaluation of policy choices confronting India today, difficult resulting in the adoption of short term and often unsustainable quick fixes. The opening panel to CPR Dialogues 2018 explored these broad themes with a view to understanding the nature of the policy choices India confronts today, the intersections between them, government’s perspective on the way forward, and the broader political economy.

Yamini Aiyar is the President and Chief Executive at CPR.

Jamshyd Godrej is Chairman and MD, Godrej and Boyce.

T N Ninan is Chairman, Business Standard Ltd.

Rajiv Kumar is Vice Chairman of NITI Aayog.

Pratap Bhanu Mehta is Vice-Chancellor of Ashoka University.

The question and answer session that followed can be accessed here.

Yamini Aiyar’s article in the Hindustan Times (print partner for CPR Dialogues) can be accessed here.

Coverage of the panel by ThePrint (digital partner for CPR Dialogues) can be accessed here.

Watch the interviews of Jamshyd Godrej and Rajiv Kumar with ThePrint.

Watch all other sessions of the Dialogues below:

• The International Climate Change Regime: Looking Back to Look Forward 
• Research for Policy Action on Air Pollution, in collaboration with CECFEE
• India’s Technology Transition: The Present and the Possible
• CPR Youth Awards: A Youth-Driven Agenda for Change
• The Emerging World Order and India’s Role
• Understanding India’s Energy Transition in Global Context
• Is the Urban Future Metropolitan? Big Cities in Urban Systems
• Geopolitics and Geo-Economics in a Changing South Asia

CPR FACULTY ANALYSE
POLITICS SOUTH ASIA INTERNATIONAL POLITICS

As India made a bid for NSG membership at Seoul in June, 2016, and was opposed by China, CPR faculty analyse it from different aspects:

In The Hindu, Shyam Saran analyses China’s public stand against India’s membership in the NSG, contextualising it historically, and suggests that India should carefully assess the ongoing geopolitical changes, and ‘fashion an appropriate response strategy’.
In The Great Delusion, Pratap Bhanu Mehta analyses the reasons for India’s failed NSG bid from different angles.
In another interview to Firstpost, Saran writes that despite the failed bid, India ‘should engage in quiet but active diplomacy, to mobilise greater support within the NSG, including winning over China,’ since China was unlikely to risk a setback to India-China relations in the long run.
In a two part interview with The Wire (Part 1, Part 2), Shyam Saran again analyses the reasons behind China’s stance at Seoul, and says that India must not make NSG membership an elemental issue, as well as deal with China taking into account its very complex relationship with the country, which is both adversarial and collaborative in nature.

ACCESS THE FULL JOURNAL ARTICLE
CLIMATE RESEARCH ENERGY RESEARCH

How can India undertake its large projected growth in buildings while simultaneously meeting its development, energy and climate objectives? The Building and Research Information special issue sets out to help answer this question by developing and extending the growing body of research on the topic, with the aim to help define the built environment in India as an emerging and important field of socio-technical enquiry. The special issue’s framing of the problem departs from the often used techno-economic view and instead suggests that both technical infrastructures, such as the built environment, and social infrastructures, such as policies, professions, habits and norms, shape behaviour, and as a consequence offer significant potential for reducing overall energy demand and GHG emissions. This editorial, which contextualizes the special issue, sets a three-pronged multidisciplinary framework for current and future research on India’s building stock, and associates the papers in the special issue with this agenda. It also points to the importance of international research collaborations in seeking solutions to India’s energy and climate change challenges.

NEW JOURNAL ARTICLE CO-AUTHORED BY NAVROZ K DUBASH, RADHIKA KHOSLA, ANKIT BHARDWAJ, AND NARASIMHA D RAO
CLIMATE RESEARCH ENERGY RESEARCH

Over the last few years, India has variously been presented in the global climate debate as an energy-hungry climate deal-breaker, and a forerunner of a low carbon future. Developing clarity on India’s energy and emissions future, however, is challenged by the uncertainties of India’s development transitions. Based on an interpretive analysis of 7 leading studies on CO2 emissions from energy, this paper concludes that given current policies, a doubling of India’s emissions from 2012 levels is a likely upper bound for emissions in 2030, and that this level is consistent with India’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), as the graphic below suggests.

FULL AUDIO OF TALK
URBAN SERVICES

Listen to the full audio of the talk (above) by Kabir Sheikh where he speaks about India’s governance of its human resources for health.

In this talk, Sheikh outlines the inadequacies of prevailing, largely instrumental, approaches to governance of human resources for health, such as retention, substitution and assimilation. He illustrates how deeper socio-political phenomena such as professional dominance, pluralism, parallel systems and regulatory capture have shaped the character and dynamics of the health workforce, rendering it resistant to common policy solutions.

Part 3 of a blog series by the Centre for Policy Research (CPR) and Prayas (Energy Group)
The series is titled ‘Plugging in: Electricity consumption in Indian Homes’.

Lighting is the most basic use of electricity in a home. Lighting’s share in the total residential electricity consumption is estimated to be in the range of 18% to 27%. In 2013, about a billion and a half lighting devices were sold in India; half of them being incandescent bulbs followed by CFLs (31%), tube-lights (16%) and a negligible share of LED bulbs. In 2014, the government launched a programme to promote LED bulbs in Indian households and later named it UJALA (Unnat Jyoti by Affordable LEDs for All).

This is because LED bulbs consume less electricity, last longer, and does not contain mercury. The programme, arguably the world’s largest, has sold more than 27 crore LED bulbs with no subsidy from the government. How did the programme change India’s lighting industry and consumer behaviour? What part of programme design worked and what can be improved? Answers to these questions can improve future programmes designed to improve energy efficiency in India. In this post, we discuss some key findings of our recent report where we surveyed manufacturers, retailers, households, and various stakeholders to understand the impacts of UJALA.

Innovative programme

Energy Efficiency Services Ltd. (EESL), a public sector company, is responsible for implementing the UJALA programme. The company bought LED bulbs in bulk from manufacturers through multiple rounds of competitive bidding. The large volumes and assured sales incentivised the manufacturers to drop the bid price from Rs. 310 per LED bulb in the first round to as low as Rs. 38 in later rounds. EESL sold these bulbs to consumers through contract vendors in co-ordination with the local electricity distribution companies (discoms), bypassing the retail supply chain and further bringing down the final distribution price. As a result, the current price of LED bulbs under UJALA is Rs. 70, about half of the price of the LED bulbs available in the shops. Yet, there is no subsidy from the government or the discoms. EESL also conducted innovative marketing campaigns to create public awareness.

LED bulb sales are up and prices down

The UJALA programme transformed the LED lighting industry in India. Demand for LED bulbs has gone up 50 times in the three years since 2014, while the retail market price (for bulbs sold beyond UJALA) has dropped to a third. The fall in prices can be attributed to the economies of scale achieved due to substantial demand creation by the UJALA programme, in tandem with the global trend of reduction in prices of the LED chips. India’s LED bulb manufacturing capacity has also grown substantially, with about 176 registered manufacturing units in India.

Figure 1: Sales trends of lighting devices in India
Source: ELCOMA
Our surveys show that LED bulbs are now a major source of lighting for the households that participated in the UJALA programme (Figure 2). Most of the households also said that they would buy a new LED bulb from the market when the installed LED bulb reached the end of its useful life.

ncandescent bulbs are still around

The increased demand for LED bulbs seems to replace the demand for CFLs instead of incandescent bulbs. About 810 million incandescent bulbs were sold in 2016, a 5% drop over previous year’s sale whereas the sales of CFLs have dropped by a third since their peak in 2013 (Figure 1). Our surveys corroborate this trend as we find that a considerably large proportion of the UJALA LED bulbs were used to replace CFLs, followed by incandescent bulbs and tube lights (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Lighting options replaced by LED bulbs bought under UJALA for surveyed households
Source: Prayas Consumer survey (January – March 2017)
The more that people replace CFLs with LEDs, the lesser the saving that are actually realized. Our sample of households in Pune was distributed across different income classes. A typical LED bulb saved 2.5 times more in a low income household compared to a high income household. This makes a case for programme to focus more on low income households.

LED bulb quality and warranty is important

Our surveys found that 2% of LED bulbs failed in Pune after a year of launch of the programme, while 14% of the LED bulbs failed in Puducherry three years after the launch. The bulbs sold in Pune carried a warranty of 3 years while the bulbs sold in Puducherry carried a warranty of 8 years. However, very few households got their faulty bulbs replaced. Lower expectations from a government programme and higher tolerance levels for faults in low cost LED bulbs, ignorance about warranty, and hassles in the process were cited as reasons for not replacing the faulty bulbs under warranty.

To conclude, UJALA has created a large and sustainable market for LED bulbs in India using the no-subsidy, bulk procurement model. Demand for LED bulbs has increased manifold and the retail market price (for the LED bulbs sold beyond UJALA) has dropped by a third. It has also created a significant awareness about LED bulbs, further contributing to increasing demand. Going ahead, EESL can ensure stricter monitoring and evaluation of the programme. It can also focus on low income households and small commercial establishments who are still buying incandescent bulbs. We focus on this aspect of LED use in low income households in the next post.

This piece is authored by Aditya Chunekar and Sanjana Mulay from Prayas (Energy Group).

This blog series is also available on the Prayas website here.

This article was republished in Eklavya Magazine in Hindi under ‘स्रोत विज्ञान एवं टेक्नॉलॉजी फीचर्स’, and can be accessed here.

To subscribe to email updates on the series, click here.

Other posts in this series:

• Electricity Consumption in Indian Homes
• Trends in India’s Residential Electricity Consumption
• Illuminating Affordable Homes
• The Efficiency of Appliances
• Appliances used in Affordable Housing
• Electrifying the National Capital Region
• Exploring the different uses of household appliances
• Role of human behaviour in driving electricity use

India’s recent stance towards Pakistan
CPR FACULTY ANALYSE
INDIA-PAKISTAN POLITICS SOUTH ASIA

Post Burhan Wani’s death, protests in Kashmir, Pakistan’s comments on Wani and Kashmir, Rajnath Singh’s recent visit to Pakistan, and in the wake of PM Modi’s upcoming visit in November, CPR faculty comment on India’s stance towards Pakistan.

Following Rajnath Singh’s visit to Pakistan, G Parthasarathy analyses where India stands with respect to Pakistan, writing that the neighbouring country’s internal turmoil dictates its foreign policy imperatives, and that it is likely to continue its anti-India tirade.
In Playing the Baloch Card, Pratap Bhanu Mehta analyses PM Modi’s remark on Balochistan in the Independence Day speech–what it signals and whether it will make a difference.
In a discussion on NDTV (above), G Parthasarathy comments on PM Modi’s reference to Balochistan, stating that it marked a change in India’s historical approach and was likely to impact the current situation with international repercussions.
G Parthasarathy again emphasises that India is right in flagg

PART 5 OF A SERIES ON ‘COASTAL REGULATION’ BY THE CPR-NAMATI ENVIRONMENT JUSTICE PROGRAM
COASTAL GOVERNANCE RIGHTS ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE

In June 2014, the Ministry of Environment Forests and Climate Change (MoEFCC) constituted a committee under the chairmanship of Dr Shailesh Nayak to review the Coastal Regulation Zone (CRZ) Notification, 2011.

This committee was asked to examine issues relating to Maharashtra, Karnataka and Kerala raised by the respective state governments through various letters to the MoEFCC between August 2013 and February 2014. It also had to examine errors/inconsistencies in the CRZ Notification, 2011 and address ‘procedural simplification’.

The committee held meetings with Maharashtra, Kerala and Karnataka in July and August, 2014 and held a meeting for all coastal states and union territories in Delhi in October 2014, and submitted its report to the MoEFCC in January, 2015. The MoEFCC did not make the report public until June, 2016. The ministry shared the report only after a Right to Information appeal reached the Central Information Commission (CIC) and the CIC ordered the Ministry to make the report available (Read details here).

Dr Nayak chaired another committee concerning coastal regulation, which was supposed to suggest a uniform procedure for the demarcation of high tide line (HTL) and low tide line (LTL) for the Indian coast constituted by the National Coastal Zone Management Authority (NCZMA) in June, 2013. Prior to this, the CRZ Notification, 2011 authorised seven agencies to demarcate tidal lines and NCZMA noted that the procedure of demarcation across these agencies lacked consistency. The committee was also asked to bring clarity on cost, time and services to be involved in the tidal demarcation.
The interview with Dr Nayak below, conducted on 11 April, 2016, by Meenakshi Kapoor of the CPR Namati Environment Justice Program and Nihar Gokhale, an independent journalist, is an attempt to understand the changes proposed under his leadership of the two committees.

Dr Shailesh Nayak is currently the president of the 36th International Geological Congress at Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES). Prior to this, till August 2015, he was the Secretary at the MoES.

Q. You were chairing the committee to review the CRZ Notification? Why was the need felt to review it?

Many State governments were expressing their concerns regarding implementation of CRZ Notification, 2011. All of them were committed to protect the coastal ecosystems but wanted to address inconsistencies in notification and amendments and simplification of procedures for obtaining clearances. Hence, this Committee was constituted to look into their concerns and suggest possible changes to the existing CRZ Notification, if required.

Q. Who all did you meet while reviewing the notification?

We met Chief Minister of Kerala, and Chief Secretary of Maharashtra and Secretaries and senior officials from all coastal states and Union Territories (UTs).

Q. Were any NGOs or groups consulted? Did you receive any submissions?

We did not consult anybody other than the state governments and the UTs. We did not receive any submissions.

Q. But the Terms of Reference (ToR) also had a point that read ‘The committee will look into any other issues that it feels are important’?

Yes, that is usually mentioned in all ToRs. We looked into all issues related to concerns of state governments.

Q. Did you face any challenges while reviewing?

No.

Q. The only state representative who was on the committee was Shri Hardik Shah from Gujarat State Coastal Zone Management Authority. Is there any particular reason that other states were not represented?

Shri Hardik Shah was in the Committee not as the state representative but as an expert on CRZ.

(To learn more about how the state coastal zone management authorities (SCZMA), institutions responsible for implementation of the Notification at the state level, were not made part of the review, read a previous piece here.)

Q. CRZ notification gives special consideration to Goa, Kerala and Mumbai (Special considerations include: islands in backwaters of Kerala to have a CRZ of 50 m (instead of 500 m) from the coast, permission to build foreshore facilities within this 50 m wide zone, permission to build temporary tourism structures in Goa, etc.). Did the committee recommend any special considerations for specific areas?

No, we gave only generic recommendations. No special considerations for any specific area were addressed.

Q. What were your suggestions geared towards?

Our suggestions were: One, the CRZ notification should focus on protection and conservation of ecologically sensitive areas, essentially CRZ I (See illustration for different CRZ zones, below). All developmental work should be taken up considering ecological importance and restrictions /regulations of CRZ notification. Second, State Laws should not be in conflict with CRZ notification. Third, we also advocated greater use of satellite data and emphasised on capacity building.

Q. MoEFCC is not making the report public. Why do you think the ministry is taking so long to make it available in public domain?

I do not know. Perhaps, they are taking opinions from other stakeholders. (Now it is available).

Q. Now National Centre for Sustainable Coastal Management (NCSCM) is involved in tidal demarcation (CRZ Notification, 2011 originally authorised seven agencies to demarcate high tide line (HTL) and low tide line (LTL). State Governments could appoint any one of these for tidal demarcation of their respective coastlines). All states have to get their tidal lines approved by NCSCM. What do you think about this? Is it something you recommended?

There is a separate committee, which has suggested a method to delineate high tide and low tide line. These lines can be finalised after consultation with state government.

Q. There have been six amendments to the notification in the last year. All came after you submitted the report. Are they stemming from the report?

I do not know.

Q. One is to allow buildings as per the prevailing town & country planning guidelines in CRZ II areas. It means more building height?

I feel rationalised changes in CRZ II and CRZ III should be fine till CRZ I is protected. If there are overlaps between provisions of regulating the CRZ areas, we need to make sure that such overlaps are avoided.

Q. You were made chairman of a committee in the year 2013 to bring uniformity in HTL-LTL demarcation. What all did it discuss?

The agencies authorised to do tidal demarcation have employed different methods to delineate HTL and LTL. Our job was to suggest a uniform method to delineate these lines.

Q. The committee was also asked to standardise the fees charged by different agencies for tidal demarcation?

We did not standardise the fee, but suggested how cost can be computed for each element of tidal demarcation. The cost can vary depending on complexities in the area under study.

Q. How often should the tidal demarcation be done?

Technically, it takes 18.6 years for exactly same tidal conditions to return. So every 20 years, the maps should be updated.

The other pieces in this series can be accessed below:

• Coastal commons for private tourism and entertainment?
• Is it the end of participatory coastal planning?
• States ask Review Committee to loosen up the Coastal Regulation
• Crucial aspects of proposed Marine Coastal Regulatory Zone Notification revealed
• The proposed Marine Coastal Regulation Zone (MCRZ) Notification
• A tale of two reviews: How two governments amended a coastal land use law
• The Supreme Court’s guiding principles for coastal regulation
• Coastal Regulation Zone Disputes before the National Green Tribunal
• CRZ drives a wedge between communities in Mumbai

IN MEMORIAM
REMEMBERING VED MARWAH
OBITUARIES

We are deeply saddened by the demise of Ved Marwah, a long-term associate of the Centre for Policy Research.

He had an extraordinary and illustrious career, during which he held several government posts across the country, including Commissioner of Police, Delhi and Director General of the National Security Guard. Aside from serving the government in a range of advisory roles, he was the governor of three states – Manipur, Mizoram, and Jharkhand. He wrote extensively on security issues.

Mr Marwah was an Honorary Research Professor at CPR, where he was a highly respected and valued colleague and mentor. His passing is an immeasurable loss to CPR and to the wider community.

REMEMBERING VED MARWAH
OBITUARIES

We are deeply saddened by the demise of Ved Marwah, a long-term associate of the Centre for Policy Research.

He had an extraordinary and illustrious career, during which he held several government posts across the country, including Commissioner of Police, Delhi and Director General of the National Security Guard. Aside from serving the government in a range of advisory roles, he was the governor of three states – Manipur, Mizoram, and Jharkhand. He wrote extensively on security issues.

Mr Marwah was an Honorary Research Professor at CPR, where he was a highly respected and valued colleague and mentor. His passing is an immeasurable loss to CPR and to the wider community.